Thu 1 May 2008
Has the Market Hit Bottom?
Posted by Eric Rogers under Aurora Real Estate , Real Estate , aurora news , buying a home , buying homes , foreclosure , fox valley news , general , illinois homes , loans , market trends , mortgage , selling a home , selling homesComments Off
I’ve seen a lot of folks predicting a lot of things about the housing market. First, know that real estate is local. Market conditions in other parts of the country will change differently than our area. I feel it’s impossible to “peg” the market in general as far as what’s going to happen. However, in our area, I see a lot of optimism for this year. Let’s take a look at the factors:
There hasn’t been a lot of market activity over the past couple years. Buyers have been waiting for a good deal. Foreclosures are moving briskly but there’s an ever-plentiful supply. This has made it difficult to impossible for existing home owners to move. This pressure has created pent-up demand in the market.
Mortgage rates are extremely low right now. Close to the levels they were back in 2005 before Greenspan messed them all up. Lenders have tightened restrictions but those that can buy will be getting a good deal on loan rates.
There is increasing national attention being put on the housing crisis and the extreme number of foreclosures. The government may be stepping in at some point this year to stem the tide of foreclosures. Once the foreclosures slow, values will begin to rise.
Rentals are now getting harder to find and rent prices are rising. Rent prices are now getting higher than the cost of owning a condo or single-family home. This increases the number of buyers in the market as renters decide it’s better to buy than pay more in rent.
We’re now entering the spring market - a naturally busy time. This should reduce inventory as buyers begin to take up the slack. If the number of foreclosures begins to slow, we’re going to see a further reduction in inventory for the fall. This points to the possibility of an uptick in the market beginning this fall. I predict conditions will remain flat during the spring and summer as the existing inventory begins to be eaten up by buyer demand but this fall we should see a slightly better market.
What does this mean for home buyers? If you haven’t yet entered the housing market, now is the time. You want to buy when the market is at or close to bottom - not after it has started to recover. If you’re looking for the point at where there’s the biggest inventory at the lowest prices, put yourself in the position to purchase this spring and summer.
In today’s tough seller’s market, homeowners are looking for as many ways as they can to make homes stand out of the crowd. During the winter months, many sellers focus on the interior of a home to make it stand out. While the ground is blanketed in a thick layer of snow, improving the exterior of the home doesn’t make a lot of sense. Many buyers don’t linger outside and other features like a patio or deck are difficult to sell as important features when they’re unusable. However, as spring arrives, sellers must shift gears and the exterior of the home often becomes its biggest seller.
homes that have particularly nice exteriors begin to shine. If your home features a big yard, beautiful garden, nice patio or deck and other fun summer features such as a three-season room, you are now entering the best time to show off these important assets. Perhaps one of the best ways to do this is through landscaping.
hanging or free-standing pots full of nice bright spring flowers spaced strategically around the entrance. If you have flower beds, now is the time to make sure the leaves are cleaned out and a fresh bed of mulch is laid.
Over the past few weeks, we’ve received more rain than I can remember here in the Fox Valley. It wasn’t as un-relenting of a deluge as the Century Rain of 1996 where we got 17 inches in 24 hours, but it was a consistent build up of rain over the course of perhaps a week or so. There were several smaller violent storms that blew through causing wind damage to certain areas and dropping trees throughout the region.
